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Tuesday, March 19, 2024

US/CHINA WAR IS POSSIBLE NOT INEVITABLE

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Graham Perry
Graham Perry
Experienced Arbitration Lawyer | China & Chinese Business Affairs | Public Speaker/Lecturer.

The Longer Telegram is a blueprint for US strategy to face China.

One of the key elements is “Red Lines” to which US would respond militarily. They include an attack against Taiwan, an economic blockade or a major cyberattack. A “posture review” is taking place in Washington by new Secretary of Defence Lloyd Austin.

Featured in possible US action are (1) sea-based US marines able to sail inside China’s island chains, (2) Marine Raiders special forces, (3) aggressive US sea patrols in S China Sea (4) US moving long range land-attack bombers to support Agile Combat Employment.

Remember the Thucydides Principle – quoted in US Think Tanks – and you have the US build up of mind + military. Things are dangerous. Dr Strangelove?

This is not a headlong rush to hostilities. It can be headed off but within the US, not China, there are powerfully placed military + politicians looking to put China “in its place”. Potential loss of life is enormous. China will respond

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